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Living in the future

Personal essays, observations and strategic perspectives on the cognitive, technological and human shifts shaping the next generation of organisations, ventures and society.

Personal observations, analyses, and strategic perspectives.

Aug 202610 min

The End of Prompt Engineering

As models reason better, the need for complex prompt chains diminishes.

AI & Tech
Aug 202613 min

Human-in-the-Loop, Properly Defined

Human-in-the-loop was never about having a person nearby. It was about designing exactly where judgment enters a system — and most companies that claim to have it have only the nearby part.

AI & Tech
Aug 202611 min

Complementarity-Aware Collaboration

Most AI training teaches people to use the tool. Almost none teaches the harder, rarer skill: knowing, in real time, whether your judgment or the system's is more likely to be right.

AI & Tech
Aug 202612 min

Systems Thinking for the AI Era: Why Architecture Beats Heroism

The majority of AI implementation failures trace back to a system nobody mapped, not a model that misbehaved. Systems thinking is the skill that catches this before deployment, not after.

Strategy
Aug 20269 min

What Is Human-Centered AI?

Human-Centered AI says what an AI system should optimise for: human needs, trust, inclusion. It doesn't say how an organisation has to be architected for that to actually hold once the system ships. That gap is the whole job.

AI & Tech
Mar 202625 min read

The cognitive AI asymmetry: when AI thinks for those who stopped thinking for themselves

A fifty-one-year-old procurement manager in Lisbon told me he no longer reads reports. He pastes them into the assistant and asks what he should think. His company sees a productivity gain. I see a man who has outsourced his judgment to a system that cannot judge.

Essays
Feb 202614 min

$285 billion disappeared over a markdown file. The real damage hasn't started.

On January 30, 2026, Anthropic released a set of open source plugins for Claude Co-work. One of them, a legal contract review tool, was essentially 200 lines of structured markdown. First-year law school content dressed in intelligent

Strategy
Jan 20269 min read

The mental models AI cannot replace

The strategy director had 22 years of experience synthesizing complex information. Within six months, AI did it in seconds. He felt the ground disappear — not because he was fired, but because he realized he had never learned to think. He had learned to process.

People
Jan 20268 min

The Cognitive Architecture of AI-Human Teams

How organisations must redesign their decision-making structures when intelligence becomes distributed between humans and machines.

Strategy
Dec 20256 min

Strategic Foresight in Uncertain Times

How to build adaptive strategy when traditional planning frameworks break down under rapid technological change.

Strategy
Dec 202510 min

The Infrastructure of Intelligence

A comprehensive analysis of the technical, organisational, and human infrastructure required to deploy AI effectively in enterprise environments.

AI & Tech
Dec 20258 min

Agentic Workflows — Beyond Chat

The shift from chat-based AI to agentic systems represents the most significant architectural change since cloud computing.

AI & Tech
Dec 20258 min read

Cognitive Load in the Age of Agents

When AI generates infinite options, human judgment becomes the bottleneck.

People
Nov 20255 min read

Framework Fatigue

The greatest risk in the AI era is not lack of frameworks. It is the illusion that frameworks replace thought.

Strategy
Sep 20257 min read

Building the AI-Native Firm

It is not about adding AI to current workflows. It is about redesigning from the ground up.

AI & Tech
Aug 20259 min read

A IA não vai substituir psicólogos. Mas pode tornar irrelevante quem a ignorar.

Um em cada três utilizadores já recorre à IA para apoio emocional. A Psicologia ainda finge que não vê. Quem integrar a IA agora não vai perder relevância — vai liderar a próxima revolução em saúde mental.

People
Jul 20258 min read

Karpathy vs McKinsey: why I trust those who get their hands dirty

There is a fundamental divide in how we talk about AI. Karpathy has scars from making AI work when lives are on the line. McKinsey sells confidence they have not earned. That difference matters — especially when you are the one paying for the transformation.

AI & Tech
Featured research & downloads

Featured research & downloads

Selected white papers, frameworks, reports and tools from my research library. These resources translate ideas into structures that leaders, organisations and builders can use to think, decide and act with greater clarity.

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