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Strategy
6 min

Strategic Foresight in Uncertain Times

Beyond scenario planning.

How to build adaptive strategy when traditional planning frameworks break down under rapid technological change.

Traditional strategic planning assumes you can predict the future with reasonable accuracy. Build a five-year plan. Set annual targets. Execute quarterly. Review and adjust.

This approach worked when change was incremental. It breaks down when the rate of technological change exceeds the planning cycle. By the time you’ve finished your strategic plan, the assumptions behind it may already be obsolete.